Investing. In a year of elevated valuations.
Investing content for 2026 — covering the new Form 1099-DA crypto reporting that hit brokerage statements this year, the post-OBBBA tax landscape for capital gains, and how to think about a market trading at 22× forward earnings. Reviewed by Editorial Teams before publication.
Six things that changed for investors in 2026.
The biggest is the new crypto reporting regime — but the SEC’s pivot under Chairman Atkins, the expensive market, and the broader shift toward retail access to private markets are all part of the 2026 story.
Form 1099-DA crypto reporting
Brokers must report gross proceeds from digital-asset sales (effective Jan 1, 2025) and cost basis for “covered” digital assets (effective Jan 1, 2026). The IRS now matches crypto transactions to your return. Foreign exchanges generally don’t issue Form 1099-DA — but you still have to report the income.
22× forward P/E
The S&P 500 trades at 22× forward 12-month earnings — matching the 2021 peak and approaching the record 24× from 2000. Concentration in mega-cap tech is at the highest level on record. Goldman Sachs Research forecasts 12% total return for 2026; analyst consensus clusters around 10–12%.
Pro-market posture
Under Chairman Atkins, the SEC’s 2026 rulemaking agenda has dropped ESG initiatives and is fast-tracking a move to semiannual financial reporting (vs current quarterly). New focus on a crypto-friendly framework, expanded retail access to private market funds.
T+1 settlement
US equity trades have settled T+1 since May 2024. Money from selling a stock is now available the next business day, not two business days later. Europe’s transition to T+1 is in progress for 2026.
Direct indexing
Once exclusive to ultra-high-net-worth, direct indexing is now available from $5,000 at some platforms (S&P 500 or Nasdaq-100), and from $100,000 for other indexes. Providers estimate 0.5%–1.5% in additional annual returns from stock-level tax-loss harvesting.
QBI & capital gains structure
OBBBA made the 20% QBI deduction permanent, the TCJA capital gains structure permanent, and the $15M estate exemption permanent. The 0/15/20% LTCG brackets continue at 2026 levels indexed for inflation.
The numbers that drive investing decisions.
From IRS Revenue Procedure 2025-32 (capital gains brackets), the SEC’s 2024 final regulations under T.D. 10000 (crypto reporting), and SSA’s 2026 announcement (wage base, NIIT threshold context). The figures you’ll actually need when planning a sale, a conversion, or a tax-loss harvest.
| Item | 2026 figure |
|---|---|
| Long-term capital gains — 0% bracket ends | Single $49,450 / MFJ $98,900 |
| Long-term capital gains — 15% bracket ends | Single $545,500 / MFJ $613,700 |
| Long-term capital gains — 20% bracket starts | Single $545,501+ / MFJ $613,701+ |
| Short-term capital gains rate | Same as ordinary income brackets |
| Qualified dividend tax rate | Same as LTCG (0/15/20%) |
| NIIT (Net Investment Income Tax) | 3.8% above $200K single / $250K MFJ MAGI |
| Roth IRA contribution limit | $7,500 + $1,100 catch-up |
| HSA contribution limit (self / family) | $4,400 / $8,750 |
| 529 plan annual gift exclusion | $19,000 (or $95,000 5-yr election) |
| Wash sale period | 30 days before & after a loss sale |
| Form 1099-DA cost-basis reporting starts | Jan 1, 2026 (covered assets only) |
| Crypto stablecoin de minimis (1099-DA) | $10,000 / year aggregated |
| Federal funds rate (target range, early 2026) | ~4.25%–4.50% |
Crypto reporting has caught up with stock reporting.
For decades, brokerage statements for stocks and ETFs flowed straight to the IRS via Form 1099-B. Crypto operated on an honor system. That’s over. Form 1099-DA started arriving in January 2026 for tax year 2025 transactions, and beginning January 1, 2026, brokers must also report cost basis on “covered” digital assets (anything acquired on or after that date and held continuously in the same broker’s account).
Important nuance: Foreign exchanges generally don’t issue 1099-DA. The IRS doesn’t see those transactions automatically — but you still owe tax on them.
Investing, broken into the actual decisions.
Six categories that map to the real questions of building a long-term portfolio — where to hold the money, what to buy, how to allocate, how to keep the tax bill low, how to behave when markets get scary, and the advanced topics for once the basics are dialed in.
Where to hold the money
The actual assets
How to put it together
Minimizing the drag
Staying the course
Once the basics are dialed in
Run the investment math.
Eight most-used investing calculators — all updated for 2026 capital gains thresholds, NIIT rules, and current market context. The full set of 125 calculators is on the calculator hub.
Investing dates worth remembering.
From year-end tax planning to brokerage statement deadlines. Some can be missed without consequence; others trigger penalties or lock in suboptimal tax outcomes.
An expensive market that may keep going.
Knowing where valuations sit is useful — but it’s not a market-timing signal. Markets have stayed expensive for years at a time before correcting. The right response to high valuations is usually nothing — keep dollar-cost averaging, keep your allocation, and don’t reach for yield or speculation.
22× forward earnings, 4th year of gains.
The S&P 500 trades at 22× forward 12-month earnings — matching the 2021 peak, approaching the dotcom-era record of 24×. Market cap concentration in mega-cap tech is at the highest level on record. Goldman Sachs forecasts a 12% total return for 2026, which would be the fourth consecutive year of gains (after 18% in 2025 and 25% in 2024). Goldman’s base case is “little change in equity valuations during 2026” — but high multiples raise the magnitude of downside if earnings disappoint.
The questions readers keep asking.
If your question isn’t here, the contact form takes editorial questions — recurring ones become their own articles.
Should I invest while I still have debt?
The mathematically right answer depends on the interest rate differential, but the rules of thumb that work for most people:
Always capture the 401(k) employer match first — that’s a 50-100% instant return that no credit card or student loan rate can match. Pay off any debt above ~7-8% interest before investing more — credit cards almost certainly, some personal loans, some private student loans. For debt below ~6% (most federal student loans, current mortgage rates), it’s reasonable to do both in parallel — the long-term expected return of a diversified equity portfolio exceeds those rates on average, though never guaranteed.
The middle ground (6-8%) is judgment-dependent — depends on your tax situation, the loan type, and your personal preference for being debt-free.
ETF vs index fund — does it really matter?
For most investors holding broad-market funds in tax-advantaged accounts: no, the difference is negligible. An S&P 500 index fund and an S&P 500 ETF will produce essentially identical returns over time.
In taxable accounts, ETFs have a structural tax advantage: they use in-kind redemptions that avoid forced capital gains distributions. Index mutual funds occasionally distribute capital gains even if you didn’t sell. For very long holding periods in taxable accounts, ETFs tend to be more tax-efficient.
One exception: Fidelity’s ZERO funds (FZROX, FNILX, FZILX) charge 0.00% — true zero expense ratio — but they’re mutual funds, not ETFs, and they’re only portable within Fidelity. If you’re committed to Fidelity, they win on cost. If you might move brokerages, VTI or VOO (at 0.03%) is the right pick.
Is now a bad time to invest with the market this expensive?
The market has been “expensive” by historical multiple standards for most of the past 15 years. If you’d stayed out of stocks every time someone said “the market is overvalued,” you’d have missed nearly the entire post-2010 run.
The honest answer is: high valuations correlate with lower expected forward returns over 10-15 year periods, but they’re terrible at predicting one-year direction. Bonds, cash, and “I’ll wait until it crashes” are usually worse choices than just continuing to dollar-cost average into a diversified portfolio.
If high valuations make you nervous, the productive responses are: (1) make sure your asset allocation matches your actual risk tolerance, (2) ensure you have an adequate emergency fund so you don’t need to sell during a downturn, and (3) keep contributing through the volatility. The unproductive response is going to cash and waiting.
What if I used a foreign crypto exchange — what does 1099-DA mean for me?
Foreign exchanges generally don’t issue Form 1099-DA to US taxpayers — the IRS reporting requirements apply to US “brokers” as defined under the final regulations. So if you used a Binance Global, BitMEX, KuCoin, or other non-US exchange, you likely won’t get a 1099-DA from them.
That doesn’t mean the IRS doesn’t expect you to report the income. You’re still required to report all digital asset gains, losses, and income on your federal tax return regardless of whether you received a 1099-DA. The change in 2026 is that for transactions on US brokers, the IRS now has matching data — a mismatch between what you report and what they have will trigger a notice. For foreign-exchange transactions, the honor system still applies, but penalties for unreported income are unchanged.
FBAR (Report of Foreign Bank and Financial Accounts) and FATCA filings may also apply to large foreign crypto balances. See the full 1099-DA guide and your tax advisor if any of this might apply.
Should I use a robo-advisor or just DIY at Fidelity / Vanguard?
Pure cost math favors DIY: a self-managed three-fund portfolio at Vanguard or Fidelity costs ~0.03-0.05% in fund expense ratios, with no advisory fee. A robo-advisor adds 0.25% on top — so for a $100K portfolio, you’re paying ~$250/year for the robo’s automated rebalancing, tax-loss harvesting, and goal-tracking interface.
For some people, the $250 is worth it — particularly if you’d otherwise not invest, would panic-sell during downturns, or wouldn’t actually do the tax-loss harvesting yourself. The robo’s automation means it happens whether you want it to or not.
The intermediate option: Schwab Intelligent Portfolios charges 0% advisory fee but holds a mandatory cash allocation that creates a hidden drag. Fidelity Go is 0% under $25K balance. If you want a robo without the fee, those are reasonable starting points.
How much international stock should I hold?
There’s no single right answer, but the defensible range is 20% to 40% of equity allocation. Three reference points: Vanguard’s target-date funds use ~40% international at most ages. Most academic literature suggests global market-cap weighting (~40% international currently). Bogleheads convention is often ~20-30% as a compromise between full global cap and US home bias.
The arguments for less: US has outperformed international for ~15 years; some of that is the dollar; transaction costs and complexity. The arguments for more: avoiding home country bias; valuations are cheaper overseas; diversification benefit when US underperforms. What you don’t want is 0% international — that’s a concentrated bet on US-only that’s hard to justify with portfolio theory.
Why not just buy individual stocks if I’m willing to do the research?
Two reasons. One: the data on individual stock picking by retail investors is consistently dismal. Studies have repeatedly shown that the median retail stock picker underperforms a simple S&P 500 index by 1-3% per year, mostly from behavioral mistakes (selling too soon, buying after gains, concentration risk).
Two: even if you’re skilled, the work involved to maintain even 20-stock diversification, monitor positions, and avoid concentration risk is substantial — and unforced. A total-market index fund gives you ownership of ~3,500 US stocks for an expense ratio of 0.03% and zero ongoing effort.
The compromise that works for some people: keep 85-95% in low-cost index funds and use a small “fun money” allocation (5-15%) for individual stocks. The cap limits the damage if you’re wrong; the index allocation does the heavy lifting if you’re right or wrong.
Investing overlaps with retirement and tax.
These three pillars cover topics that intersect with investing strategy — retirement-account-specific investing, the tax treatment of investment income, and the FIRE-specific approach.
