Debt — Wealth Informatics
Tax year 2026 Updated for tax year 2026 Reviewed by our editorial team Sources: IRS, SEC, FDIC, Federal Reserve
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Pillar 05 / 13 · Personal finance

Debt. In the year of the SAVE shutdown.

Debt content for 2026 — anchored to the year’s actual story: the Eighth Circuit vacated the SAVE plan on March 10, 2026, 7.5 million borrowers are being moved off it, and OBBBA’s new RAP plan launches July 1. Plus credit card APRs at 22%+, BNPL now on credit reports via FICO 10 BNPL, and the medical debt CFPB rule that didn’t survive.

2026 debt landscape

Six changes borrowers are dealing with in 2026.

Federal student loans dominate the list — the SAVE shutdown affects 7.5 million people directly and OBBBA’s RAP launches July 1. Credit card APRs are stuck above 20%. BNPL just became visible to credit bureaus. And the medical debt protections most consumers think they have aren’t quite what they think.

March 10, 2026

SAVE plan vacated

The Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals vacated the SAVE Final Rule. Department of Education started notifying 7.5 million enrolled borrowers March 27, 2026. Forbearance time may not count toward PSLF — explore the PSLF buyback option if you were counting on it.

Effective July 1, 2026

RAP launches

OBBBA’s new Repayment Assistance Plan goes live July 1. Based on total AGI, not discretionary income. 1–10% sliding scale. $10 minimum payment. Unpaid interest waived if you pay full and on time. Forgiveness at 30 years (vs SAVE’s 20–25).

Expired Dec 31, 2025

Forgiveness taxable again

The American Rescue Plan Act’s tax exclusion for student loan forgiveness expired January 1, 2026. IDR forgiveness received in 2026 or later is now federally taxable — but PSLF forgiveness remains permanently tax-free, and death/disability discharges are tax-free under OBBBA.

Live in 2026

BNPL on credit reports

FICO created FICO 10 BNPL and FICO 10T BNPL — first scoring models to incorporate Buy Now, Pay Later accounts. 53.6 million Americans (~1 in 5 adults) used BNPL in 2023. Missed payments now hurt your score; on-time payments help where the model is in use.

Stuck high

Credit card APRs at 21%+

Q1 2026 average APR 21.00% on all accounts, 21.52% on accounts assessed interest. Excellent credit gets 17–21%; fair credit gets ~26%. Below 2024 records (21.76% / 23.37%) but still structurally elevated. No relief expected in 2026.

Vacated July 2025

Medical debt rule reversed

The January 2025 CFPB rule (would have removed virtually all medical debt from credit reports) was vacated by a federal court in July 2025. The 2022–2023 voluntary bureau changes remain in effect: paid medical collections removed, unpaid under $500 removed, 12-month grace period. But unpaid medical debt over $500 can still be reported.

2026 key numbers

All the rates, in one place.

From Federal Reserve G.19 consumer credit data, the CFPB’s 2025 BNPL report, Department of Education repayment plan rules, and bankruptcy court statistics. The figures that actually affect what you pay on what you owe.

Item2026 figure
Credit card APR — all accounts avg (Q1 2026)21.00%
Credit card APR — assessed interest avg21.52%
Credit card APR — excellent credit (740+)17–21%
Credit card APR — good credit (670–739)21–24%
Credit card APR — fair credit~26%
Cash advance APR — average24.48%
Penalty APR — average27.44%
0% balance transfer offer — typical length13 months
Personal loan APR — 2-yr bank avg12.17%
Personal loan APR — best rates (excellent credit)~5.99%
HELOC — average7.04%
BNPL default rate (CFPB 2021–2022)1.9%
Credit card default rate (same period)8.7%
Medical debt threshold (unpaid still reported)> $500
Sources: Federal Reserve G.19 (April 2026), Bankrate weekly survey, WalletHub credit reports, CFPB BNPL Report (December 2025), TransUnion / Experian / Equifax voluntary medical debt agreement (2022–2023). Credit card APRs by tier are from WalletHub aggregations.
SAVE borrowers being moved
7.5M
Department of Education notifying all 7.5M enrolled borrowers starting March 27, 2026. All need to pick a new plan.
Credit card APR (assessed interest)
22.83%
January 2026 average for accounts carrying a balance. Down slightly from 2024 peak of 23.37%.
PSLF forgiveness total to date
$90.6B
1.2M borrowers received average $75K each in forgiveness by January 2026. Program continues processing.
BNPL users in US
53.6M
~1 in 5 American adults used BNPL in 2023 per CFPB. Avg 6.3 loans per lender, up from 5.7 in 2022.
The big 2026 deadline

July 1, 2026 — multiple federal student loan changes go live.

A cluster of major changes from OBBBA all take effect on the same date. RAP launches as the new IDR option. SAVE, PAYE, and ICR close to new enrollments (and phase out completely by July 1, 2028). Grad PLUS loans end for new borrowers. Parent PLUS issued after this date won’t be eligible for RAP and has no PSLF path. The PSLF “qualifying employer” rule giving the Secretary disqualification authority also takes effect.

Action: If you have federal student loans, audit your plan and consolidation status before this date.

Subtopics

Debt, broken into the actual decisions.

Six categories covering the real questions borrowers face — what to do about student loans, how to handle credit card debt, when consolidation actually helps, the auto/BNPL/medical debt details, what’s happening with your credit score, and what to do when things have gone wrong.

Calculators

Run the debt math.

Eight most-used debt calculators — all updated for 2026 rates, current APR averages, and the new student loan landscape. The full set of 125 calculators is on the calculator hub.

Key 2026 dates

Deadlines worth remembering.

Federal student loan deadlines dominate the calendar in 2026. Most are tied to the July 1 cutoff when OBBBA’s repayment-plan changes take effect.

Jul
1
2026
RAP launches; SAVE/PAYE/ICR close to new
The big federal student loan transition. RAP becomes the only new IDR option. SAVE, PAYE, and ICR no longer accept new enrollments. IBR remains for loans disbursed before this date.
Jul
1
2026
Parent PLUS consolidation cutoff
Parent PLUS borrowers who want to access IDR must consolidate into a Direct Consolidation Loan before this date. After this, new Parent PLUS loans have no PSLF path and no RAP eligibility.
Jul
1
2026
Grad PLUS loans end
No new Grad PLUS loans after this date. Existing borrowers can continue for 3 years or until program completion. Graduate students will need to look at private loans, scholarships, or savings.
Jul
1
2028
SAVE / PAYE / ICR fully phase out
All borrowers on these legacy plans must transition by this date. Most will move to IBR or RAP. Don’t wait until 2028 — switch when you’re ready, not when you’re forced.
Jan
1
2026
Forgiveness becomes taxable again
ARPA’s tax exclusion expired. IDR forgiveness received on or after January 1, 2026 is federally taxable. Plan for this — a $50K IDR forgiveness in 2030 could trigger a $12K+ tax bill in 2031.
∞
120
PMTS
PSLF qualifying payments
120 monthly qualifying payments while working full-time for a qualifying employer. SAVE forbearance time doesn’t count automatically — explore the PSLF buyback option if you were counting on those months.
Student loan strategy

The IDR landscape is more complicated than it’s ever been.

Until 2024, the IDR options were SAVE (best for most), PAYE, IBR, and ICR. SAVE was the obvious answer. In 2026, with SAVE vacated and three of the four legacy plans phasing out, the right plan depends on when your loans were disbursed, whether you’re pursuing PSLF, and your income trajectory.

The IDR decision tree

IBR if you can. RAP if you can’t.

For loans disbursed before July 1, 2026, IBR is the most legally stable IDR option. It’s been around since 2009, survived multiple court challenges, and Congress has shown no interest in eliminating it. Payments are 10–15% of discretionary income; forgiveness at 20–25 years.

For loans disbursed on or after July 1, 2026, RAP is the only IDR option. Payments are typically higher than IBR for most borrowers because RAP uses total AGI, not discretionary income — meaning every dollar of income contributes to the payment calculation. The 30-year forgiveness timeline is longer than IBR’s 20–25. But the interest waiver on full on-time payments is a meaningful benefit RAP has that IBR doesn’t.

7.5M
SAVE borrowers being transitioned
30 yrs
RAP forgiveness timeline
20–25 yrs
IBR forgiveness timeline
10 yrs
PSLF — separate, still tax-free
FAQ

The questions readers keep asking.

If your question isn’t here, the contact form takes editorial questions — recurring ones become their own articles.

I was on SAVE — what should I do now?

Don’t panic, but don’t ignore the notice. The Department of Education started notifying all 7.5 million SAVE borrowers on March 27, 2026 with timeline guidance. You can stay in forbearance for a limited period while choosing a new plan, but the forbearance time doesn’t automatically count toward PSLF.

The choice for most former SAVE borrowers is between IBR (most stable, but income-based on discretionary income) and the new RAP plan (income-based on total AGI). For loans disbursed before July 1, 2026, IBR is generally the safer choice. For loans disbursed after, RAP is the only IDR option.

If you were counting on SAVE forbearance for PSLF, look into the PSLF buyback option — you can pay for months retroactively to get them counted. Start at studentaid.gov/pslf-buyback.

Should I refinance my federal loans to private to get a lower rate?

Almost certainly no. Federal loans come with protections that private loans don’t: IDR plans, PSLF eligibility, deferment options, death and disability discharge, and forbearance during economic hardship. Refinancing to private is a one-way trip — you can’t undo it.

The math: even if you save 1–2% on the interest rate, you give up potentially life-changing optionality. A federal loan during a job loss can be deferred for months; a private loan can be repossessed. A federal loan can be discharged if you die or become permanently disabled; a private loan stays with your estate (or spouse, if cosigned).

The narrow scenarios where private might make sense: you have an extremely stable, very high income; the loan balance is small relative to your income; you have no chance of PSLF eligibility; and you’ve already maxed out federal protections. For most borrowers, this isn’t the situation.

Does BNPL actually affect my credit score now?

Yes — but the impact depends on which lender uses which scoring model. FICO launched FICO 10 BNPL and FICO 10T BNPL in 2026, the first scoring models that incorporate BNPL accounts. Most major BNPL providers (Affirm, Klarna, Afterpay, Zip) now report at least missed payments to credit bureaus.

Affirm’s policy is illustrative: pay-in-4 short-term loans typically aren’t reported unless you miss a payment; longer-term loans (3 months or more) are often reported to Experian as installment accounts. Klarna and Afterpay have similar practices.

The practical implication: pay BNPL on time and it’s invisible (or slightly positive); miss a payment and it becomes visible (and negative). Don’t avoid BNPL because of credit concerns — but treat the payments with the same seriousness as a credit card minimum.

Should I pay off my credit cards or invest the extra money?

For credit card debt at 22% APR, pay off the cards. The S&P 500’s long-term return is about 10% nominal. You can’t reliably beat a 22% guaranteed return (which is what paying down 22% APR debt is) by investing.

The math is asymmetric: every dollar that pays down 22% APR debt earns you a guaranteed 22%. Every dollar that goes into the market might earn 10% on average — with substantial variance. Even tax-advantaged retirement accounts (which let you avoid tax on returns) don’t close that gap.

Two exceptions: Always capture the 401(k) employer match first — that’s an instant 50–100% return that beats credit card payoff. And in personal-finance triage, maintain a small emergency fund (~$1,000) before aggressive debt payoff, so an unexpected expense doesn’t put you right back into the debt cycle.

Should I file bankruptcy?

Bankruptcy is a real option, not a moral failing — and for some financial situations, it’s the right answer. The honest framing: if you can pay off your unsecured debt within 5 years on a realistic budget, bankruptcy probably isn’t the right tool. If you can’t, it might be.

Chapter 7 (liquidation) is faster — typically 3–6 months — but requires passing a means test (income below state median or showing inability to pay). Chapter 13 (reorganization) is a 3–5 year court-supervised payment plan, used when Chapter 7 isn’t available or when you have significant assets you want to protect.

What survives bankruptcy: federal student loans (almost always), tax debts (in most cases), child support, alimony, criminal restitution. What doesn’t survive: most credit card debt, medical debt, personal loans, certain unsecured debt. The credit hit is real (~7 years for Chapter 13, ~10 years for Chapter 7) but rebuilding starts immediately after discharge.

Talk to a bankruptcy attorney — many offer free initial consultations. Don’t talk to a “debt relief” company before talking to a bankruptcy lawyer.

Is medical debt really off my credit report?

Partially. The CFPB’s January 2025 rule (which would have removed essentially all medical debt) was vacated by a federal court in July 2025. But the voluntary 2022–2023 changes from Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion remain in effect:

Removed from credit reports: paid medical collections (any balance), unpaid medical collections under $500, and any unpaid medical debt for the first 12 months after billing (a grace period). Still reportable: unpaid medical debt over $500 after 12 months.

If you see old paid medical collections on your reports that should have been removed under the bureau changes, you can dispute them directly — they should come off. Fifteen states have additional medical debt protection laws of their own; check whether your state is one of them.

Snowball vs avalanche — does it really matter?

Mathematically, the avalanche method (highest APR first) saves more money — sometimes thousands of dollars over a multi-debt payoff. Behaviorally, the snowball method (smallest balance first) has a higher success rate because of the motivation that comes from quick wins.

The pragmatic answer: start with the snowball if you’ve struggled with debt motivation in the past. The first paid-off card gives you proof the plan is working, which keeps you in the game. Switch to avalanche once you’ve built momentum.

For people who can stick to either plan equally well, avalanche wins on math. Use the debt payoff calculator to see your specific numbers — sometimes the interest savings from avalanche is small (a few hundred dollars), other times it’s substantial (multiple thousands). The bigger the differential between your highest and lowest APRs, the more avalanche saves.

Stay current

Federal student loan rules are still in flux.

The Department of Education is issuing guidance throughout 2026 as SAVE winds down and RAP launches. PSLF rule changes take effect July 1. Court challenges to OBBBA loan-limit provisions are ongoing. We track the changes that actually affect borrowers — one email a week, no upsell, no debt-relief affiliate links.

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Sourced from IRS, SEC, FDIC, Federal Reserve
Reviewed by our editorial team
Updated for tax year 2026
Re-reviewed every year
No paid placements
Not financial advice